Steven Spielberg’s Disclosure Day Box Office Will Tell Us What Project Hail Mary Didn’t

Steven Spielberg‘s Disclosure Day is out in theaters this week. The film’s box office performance will tell us a lot about future movies of its kind.

Disclosure Day’s is set for release on June 12, 2026, and it features a massive cast led by Emily Blunt, Josh O’Connor, Colin Firth, Colman Domingo, Eve Hewson, and more. Based on a story by Spielberg, the script for Disclosure Day was written by David Koepp, who previously worked with the Jaws director on films such as Jurassic Park, The Lost World: Jurassic Park, War of the Worlds, and Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull.

Disclosure Day’s box office will show us the appetite of more “adult” sci-fi movies

Spielberg’s upcoming Disclosure Day is about UFOs and aliens on the surface, but at its core appears to be a story about humanity and empathy. The movie largely revolves around what would happen if humans came to know that aliens existed and the argument of whether or not we could handle such news without society breaking down.

Despite being directed by one of the most legendary filmmakers ever, the movie still has many hurdles to clear. It’s not often we get more thematic movies centered around sci-fi like this, so the film’s box office will tell us a lot about how audiences feel about something so unconventional. While its first weekend numbers aren’t in just yet, the movie’s opening two days saw it earn about $12.5 million, with Universal likely hoping to see at least $40 million on its opening weekend.

For Spielberg and Disclosure Day, the movie’s real challenge will be keeping up momentum after its release. Unlike a movie like Project Hail Mary, another sci-fi blockbuster released this year, Disclosure Day doesn’t feature much in the way of whimsical or lovable moments that might attract most audiences. Instead, the movie is more introspective.

Spielberg has been very open about this, telling Entertainment Weekly that the movie, at its core, is about empathy. Whether or not audiences resonate with that and show it with their wallets, though, is another thing entirely, and that could end up dictating the future of more adult-themed blockbusters in the future.

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